Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.522764 0.603261 0.691047 0.793763 0.910516 1.038961 1.190837
2025-07-27 0.397859 0.510414 0.645378 0.818496 1.033967 1.292579 1.625696
2025-08-03 0.321314 0.445969 0.606273 0.826147 1.118299 1.491356 2.001745
2025-08-10 0.266217 0.394558 0.569458 0.822931 1.178127 1.654926 2.339485
2025-08-17 0.223489 0.351061 0.534027 0.812273 1.220603 1.792831 2.649024
2025-08-24 0.190836 0.316061 0.504170 0.802907 1.259768 1.924939 2.957130
2025-08-31 0.160890 0.280150 0.467287 0.776788 1.268630 2.010488 3.200934
2025-09-07 0.150456 0.273604 0.474251 0.817857 1.382073 2.259003 3.706634
2025-09-14 0.129713 0.246645 0.444652 0.795984 1.392353 2.347717 3.970344
2025-09-21 0.112347 0.222991 0.417394 0.774194 1.399199 2.429415 4.226586
2025-09-28 0.098367 0.203443 0.394690 0.757164 1.411286 2.518857 4.500045
2025-10-05 0.091131 0.195605 0.391878 0.774734 1.484195 2.714443 4.964408
2025-10-12 0.087037 0.193648 0.400151 0.814242 1.601279 2.997385 5.605010
2025-10-19 0.081409 0.187856 0.400521 0.839009 1.693897 3.245197 6.204174
2025-10-26 0.074566 0.178501 0.392694 0.846792 1.754819 3.440061 6.721926
2025-11-02 0.067455 0.167499 0.380130 0.843498 1.793469 3.595959 7.178181
2025-11-09 0.060508 0.155837 0.364750 0.832592 1.815621 3.721778 7.586142
2025-11-16 0.054486 0.145435 0.350793 0.823008 1.839123 3.851114 8.008800
2025-11-23 0.047890 0.132640 0.329989 0.796282 1.824368 3.903948 8.285625
2025-11-30 0.046759 0.133331 0.339854 0.838305 1.958333 4.261744 9.188672
2025-12-07 0.041541 0.122719 0.322130 0.815925 1.951105 4.332562 9.519083
2025-12-14 0.036921 0.112967 0.305263 0.793628 1.941754 4.397678 9.841280
2025-12-21 0.033078 0.104737 0.291117 0.776200 1.941551 4.481439 10.207044